A CORRELATION BETWEEN COVID-19 CASES AND DEATH DURING FIRST, SECOND AND THIRD WAVES OF COVID-19 IN LATA MANGESHKAR HOSPITAL (LMH) WITH TOTAL CASES IN INDIA

Paikrao V. M. and Nagdeo N.*

ABSTRACT

Background: Now it has been more than 2 years since the first cases of the new Corona virus variant SARS Cov2 have been detected in China. The first wave of the pandemic hit a lot of countries hard and numerous patients died. Not enough dedicated equipment and limited information of the disease added to the severity of this first and second phase. Aim and Objective: This study is done with an aims to correlate COVID-19 cases and death during first, second and third waves of Covid-19 in LMH with total cases in India. Methodology: The Covid-19 data from all three Covid-19 waves was retrieved from COVID-19 Data Repository by the CSSE, JHU, USA. The retrieved data was analysed to find out the correlation between all RT- PCR COVID-19 confirmed positive cases and death during in three waves in, LMH with total positive cases in India. Out of 2935 COVID-19 cases 2410 cases tested positive from outside labs and 525 cases was confirmed with RT-PCR. Result: During the first, second and third waves of Covid-19 in LMH the mortality rate were 8.59%, 14.22% and 8.51%. While in these three waves of Covid-19 in India the mortality rate was 1.43%, 1.28% and 0.78% respectively. A moderate positive linear correlation was found between average COVID 19 case and death from cumulative data of three waves from LMH and India with R value: 0.444 (p<0.05) and R value: 0.491 (p<0.05). Conclusion: The COVID-19 positive case and death of LMH are found to be moderate positive linear correlating with COVID-19 positive case from India. The mortality rate found to be increased in the second waves in LMH while mortality rate found to be increased in the first waves in India.

Keywords: Waves of Covid-19, Mortality rate, Correlation.